Your Perfect Assignment is Just a Click Away

We Write Custom Academic Papers

100% Original, Plagiarism Free, Customized to your instructions!

glass
pen
clip
papers
heaphones

BUSN603: Select one of the mathematical decision theory models

BUSN603: Select one of the mathematical decision theory models

50 words agree or disagree to each question 

Q1. Clearly define the problem at hand.

List the possible alternatives.
Identify the possible outcomes or states of nature.
List the payoff (typically profit) of each combination of alternatives and outcomes.
Select one of the mathematical decision theory models.
Apply the model and make your decision.

A good decision with a bad outcome- I once invested a few thousand dollars into oil stock options. Many of the fundamental and technical indicators were showing positive signs for the short and mid term forecasts. The oil sector itself did rise substantially, but my particular company was saddled with a couple of unforeseen lawsuits that depressed the stock price for a few months, just in time for the options to expire far of out of the money despite a surging economy. This was a good decision since it was made using certain criteria, fundamental analysis, and technical indicators in order to choose a stock and invest in a derivative in the underlying security. It was not blind gambling like many day traders do. I was a bit more optimistic about the investment. 
A bad decision with a good outcome- I once got into a real physical fight with a coworker after a heated discussion. It was a spur of the moment machismo showing that led to 4 on 4 person battle royale in the open. We eventually broke away and were able to lose the pursuers. The good outcome was that the people I was in charge of that were present for the fight saw me as the most venerable person to follow into the depths of anywhere after that. It was not so much of an intentional decision walking into the situation, but after a certain point the Expected Opportunity Loss, respect lost after being insulted, seemed as great if not greater than not fighting. This is something I don’t think too many people will understand or support since the tendency is toward kinder more gentler times (for good reason). That departure from the norm is what led my fellow minions to respect me more than anyone else from there on out. 

Besides my own example, here is an interesting article saw I found from Inc. about how good decision making can still result in bad outcomes. https://www.inc.com/bruce-eckfeldt/the-simple-4-box-model-that-skilled-entrepreneurs-use-to-analyze-important-decisions.html

Q2. Hope you are doing well this week! I am a little overwhelmed and stressed, so I am sorry I am a little late! I had a hard time thinking of my decisions in the past, and realized I have been blocking out most of my memories! Its absolutely terrible. 
But, it took a lot of thinking, but I finally remembered some examples! 
The good decision: So, I wanted to feel pretty! So, I went and spent some money to get my eyelashes done. It cost a little over $100 and they looked really pretty! I was really happy with it. Then, a few weeks pass by. The eyelash extensions are starting to grow out and fall out. They are kind of annoying and look a little janky, but thats usually what happens after a few weeks. So, I am driving to work. On a highway. Going around 70 mph. All of a sudden I feel a stinging in my eye. I figure it has to be an eyelash, but, it didn’t feel like a regular eyelash, it felt like death. So I started rubbing my eye, trying to get whatever was in it out, and I literally cannot see, it stung so bad (I found out later it was the glue on the extension that made my eye feel like that) and look in front of me and see a car RIGHT THERE. I slam on my breaks, but I was already too late- I totaled my car. 
The decision was a good decision because I made the decision in the name of self care: to feel good, to save time in the mornings, and to save money on buying strip eyelashes. 
Bad decision: I cut all of my hair off in 2015. I was young and felt like I could rock having short hair. It was terrible- I never realized how much of my confidence and my identity was tied to having long hair to hide behind. But, later on I realized it had been for the best – because I was able to grow confidence in myself no matter how long or short my hair was. It was a bad decision because I didnt need to do that to myself, but I did anyway.

Order Solution Now

Our Service Charter

1. Professional & Expert Writers: Blackboard Experts only hires the best. Our writers are specially selected and recruited, after which they undergo further training to perfect their skills for specialization purposes. Moreover, our writers are holders of masters and Ph.D. degrees. They have impressive academic records, besides being native English speakers.

2. Top Quality Papers: Our customers are always guaranteed of papers that exceed their expectations. All our writers have +5 years of experience. This implies that all papers are written by individuals who are experts in their fields. In addition, the quality team reviews all the papers before sending them to the customers.

3. Plagiarism-Free Papers: All papers provided by Blackboard Experts are written from scratch. Appropriate referencing and citation of key information are followed. Plagiarism checkers are used by the Quality assurance team and our editors just to double-check that there are no instances of plagiarism.

4. Timely Delivery: Time wasted is equivalent to a failed dedication and commitment. Blackboard Experts is known for timely delivery of any pending customer orders. Customers are well informed of the progress of their papers to ensure they keep track of what the writer is providing before the final draft is sent for grading.

5. Affordable Prices: Our prices are fairly structured to fit in all groups. Any customer willing to place their assignments with us can do so at very affordable prices. In addition, our customers enjoy regular discounts and bonuses.

6. 24/7 Customer Support: At Blackboard Experts, we have put in place a team of experts who answer to all customer inquiries promptly. The best part is the ever-availability of the team. Customers can make inquiries anytime.